Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free Pick 10/20/13

Matt Schaub TexansHouston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Picks
Sunday, October 20th, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS)
Free NFL Pick: Chiefs -6.5 @ Carbon Sportsbook

I’ll warn you to get on this play right now. If the news breaks that QB Matt Schaub is going to be sitting this game out, the Texans will jump up to at least +7.5 or +8, if not higher. We’ve already seen that all of the action is going on KC in this game, and it’s tough to justify anything different. Houston has been atrocious over the course of the last 2.5 games, being outscored since the start of the third quarter against the Seattle Seahawks 95-16 (and it really should be 95-9 if not for a BS touchdown at the end of the game on Sunday against the St. Louis Rams). The team has turned the ball over nine times without getting a turnover back in that stretch, and somehow in a span of about five minutes of game action last week, Houston allowed a touchdown on offense, defense, and special teams.

If the Texans were doing anything fundamentally right, I would love to be on their back, because I do think that they are going to be a sharp play very soon, and perhaps as soon as Sunday. They have the talent to win this game, and the argument could be that they have better talent on their team than Kansas City does. However, the Chiefs are pressuring the quarterback, they are forcing turnovers, and they aren’t turning it over themselves. That +12 turnover margin speaks very loudly about how this team is playing right now. We’ve all seen the numbers about how well Schaub plays when he is on the move as opposed to when he is standing in the pocket, and the numbers aren’t even close. That’s where a lot of these mistakes have happened this season, and there is no way that Schaub is going to be able to stand in there against DE Tamba Hali and DE Justin Houston and throw the rock where he wants to. Houston, we have a problem, and a big one at that. This could be another game where the Texans get rolled. Play the Chiefs -6.5

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About the author: Ryan Andrews

 

Ryan D. Andrews is a long time sports writer and has been working as a freelance columnist for almost 15 years. He's worked along side some of the smartest and best writers in the business. He is always looking for the most profitable trends and is constantly looking for an edge. He uses his education and experience in math to his advantage in an effort to beat the books.

Website: http://www.tc-sports-picks.com

 

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