Week 7 NFL Free Picks: Browns @ Packers 10/20/13

B J RajiCleveland Browns vs. Green Bay Packers Free Pick: The banged up Green Bay Packers are returning home for what could be a much better NFL betting battle than expected against the Cleveland Browns. This is only the fourth all-time meeting between these two sides since Cleveland has returned to the league.

The Browns are +11.5 on the road, but we think that they have a great chance to keep this game within just a touchdown or so, even against a high and mighty team like Green Bay.

NFL Week 7 – Browns @ Packers October 20th, 2013
Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Browns vs. Packers On TV: CBS
NFL Betting Odds Courtesy of JustBet Sportsbook: Green Bay -11.5 (Total: 46)

JustBet

We’re big fans of the Packers winning games right now, but we think that the whole identity of this club is shifting. This is a team that is going to smack you in the mouth and run the ball 25 times for a change, and it is going to pick up some big yards and run the clock. The defense might not have the best stats in the world, but this isn’t a team that you’re running the ball against all that effectively. Cleveland is going to have no choice but to put the ball in the air, which you would figure would be a really bad thing for QB Brandon Weeden, who many Browns fans want to see put on the bench for the rest of the season.

However, we have a lot of confidence in that Cleveland defense. This unit is allowing just 312.5 yards per game this season, and though it allowed 31 points to the Detroit Lions last week, we know that Weeden created the last seven of those points. Keeping the Packers down to just 24 or so should be enough to cover this game, even for Weeden, who, like we have said, has been nothing short of pathetic as a starting quarterback this year. The Browns covered four games last season which they didn’t win SU, and this very well could be another one of these games. Remember that LB Clay Matthews, WR Randall Cobb, and WR James Jones are all banged up in this one, and at least Matthews won’t be playing. Cobb and Jones will have their statuses determined later in the week, but we don’t think that either is going to be all that effective when push comes to shove. This is a week for the Browns to hit the backdoor and cover a number that most figure they won’t stay in front of.

Browns @ Packers Free Pick for 10/20/13: Cleveland Browns +11.5

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