2014 Week 9 Monday NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants

Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants
Date: Monday, November 3rd, 2014 Time: 8:30 pm EST TV: ESPN
Game Line: Indianapolis -3 (from JustBet) Over/Under: 50.5

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Monday NFL analysis: The Indianapolis Colts travel to MetLife stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey to take on the New York Giants for the week 9 edition of ESPN’s Monday night football.

The Colts had been on a roll until last weekend, when they faced a juggernaut known as the Pittsburgh Steelers and had to deal with 522 yards passing from Ben Roethlisberger. Roethlisberger’s stellar performance was too hard to overcome as they lost at Heinz Field 51–34. Before that game, the Colts had won five straight and were coming off an impressive 27–0 victory over Cincinnati. Andrew Luck has certainly taken a huge step forward this season, with 2731 yards passing with 22 touchdowns, 9 interceptions and a 99.2 QBR. Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton has also taken a big step forward this season with 866 yards and 2 touchdowns. Reggie Wayne is of course a mainstay in the offense, and is probable for Monday night after missing last Sunday’s game. Leading the way out of the backfield is former New York Giant Ahmad Bradshaw, who has 371 yards rushing and 264 yards receiving this season with 8 total touchdowns. The defense is ranked 14th in the league allowing 99.2 rushing yards per game and 252 yards through the air per game.

The Giants are 3-4 and coming off their bye week, and in their last game they lost at Dallas 31-21. The Giants have been up and down this season, losing their first two games and looking rather unimpressive, then winning three in a row. After that small winning streak they were blown out in Philadelphia 27–0. Eli Manning has completed 64.9% of his passes for 1573 yards with 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. The Giants are running the ball with some effectiveness, due to the contributions of free-agent acquisition Rashad Jennings and rookie Andre Williams. Jennings will not be active on Monday night, so the bulk of the carries will go to the rookie Williams, who seems capable of doing the job. The wide receiving corps took a big hit with a season ending injury to Victor Cruz, but still have a lot of talent with Rueben Randall and rookie standout Odell Beckham Jr., who has definitely turned some heads. Another guy that is definitely on the rise is tight end Larry Darnell, who at 6’6″ has caught 34 balls for 332 yards and 4 touchdowns. The defense hasn’t been up to par the season although they have the talent, they just haven’t put it together. They are 26th in the league in total defense, allowing 122 yards rushing per game, and 262.43 passing yards per game. The pass rush has been effective at times, as the defensive line has tallied 16 sacks so far this season.

This should be a pretty entertaining game tonight, but I think Indianapolis is in a bad spot here. The Colts will be playing their second straight road game, and they’ll be playing a desperate New York team that can’t afford to fall further behind in the competitive NFC East. The best thing that can happen to a team that’s lost two in a row is a bye week. I think it’s a good opportunity for Eli Manning to get acclimated with the offense sans Victor Cruz. Not only will this be the Colts second straight road game, but they have their bye week up next, followed by a big game coming up afterwards. Who do they play? That team that just dominated Denver on Sunday, the New England Patriots, on Sunday night. One would have to wonder if the Colts will be 100% focused for this game with a break looming and this being a non-conference game. I think we get a good effort out of the Giants on Monday night, and I think we’ll get an inspired defensive effort as well. I think the Giants will have success on offense against a defense that is banged up and missing a few key players. I’m getting points with a desperate team with a coach that hasn’t lost a coming off the bye week since 2007. Giants win outright on Monday night.

Free Week 9 Monday NFL Pick: New York +3, Under 50.5
Indianapolis vs. New York Score Prediction: New York 24 – Indianapolis 20

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About the author: Chad Dawkins

 

Chad A. Dawkins is not only an avid sports betting blogger and writer, but he is also a truly dedicated sports handicapper. As a very passionate sports fanatic since childhood, he’s a spirited sports handicapper of the purest form. He not only picks winners by putting in hours of time on all sports; football, basketball, & baseball handicapping. Chad truely enjoys the daily capping grind. He utilizes his love of numbers, the basic betting trends and other raw data to draw up winners. His daily capping involves combining statistics, betting systems, and public perception. He then ties all of this information with his personal knowledge of the game; which is stemmed from his regular viewing habits. Dawkins uses all the tools available to him to practice different types of situational handicapping and to develop systems. Chad uses all of this to pick winners and find value where the sports betting public doesn’t see it. Recently, Dawkins has been contributing on several top websites. He’s been a long time (5+ year) member and often shares his insights on the Cappersinfo.com forums; whom we would like to thank for recommending Chad to Total Choice Sports Picks. He has a solid understanding of how the daily lines are set by the oddsmakers, what moves the line, influences the public; and just has a solid feel for the betting market in general. For all the said reason, this is a big reason why TC-Sports-Picks is honored to have him as a contribution and future expert.

 

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