2014 Week 11 Sunday NFL Pick: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers
Date: Sunday, November 16th, 2014 Time: 4:25 pm EST TV: CBS
Game Line: Green Bay -6 (from JustBet) Over/Under: 54.5

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Sunday NFL analysis: The Philadelphia Eagles travel to Green Bay, Wisconsin to take on the red hot Green Bay Packers from Lambeau Field.

The Philadelphia Eagles sit atop the NFC East at 7-2 and are coming off a 45-21 win on Monday night over Carolina in the first start of the season for quarterback Mark Sanchez. Sanchez was 20 for 37 for 332 yards with 2 touchdowns with his two touchdowns going to rookie Jordan Matthews. Matthews had his best game as a pro with 7 receptions for 138 yards and 2 touchdowns. Darren Sproles was also a factor with a punt return for a touchdown and an 8 yard touchdown run. The Eagles defense really stepped up dealing with the absence of middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans, who was lost for the season the week prior. The defense frustrated Cam Newton and sacked the dual threat quarterback 9 times, led by Fletcher Cox’s sacks while Connor Barwin and Trent Cole added 2 apiece. The Eagles are ranked 5th in the league in total offense averaging 403 yards per game. On defense they are below average, allowing 366 yards per game and struggling against the pass allowing 251 yards per game.

The Green Bay Packers are one of the hottest teams in the league winning 5 of their last 6 games after starting the season 1-2. The Packers are coming off a 55-14 thumping of division rival Chicago. To say Aaron Rodgers is in the zone would be an understatement. Rodgers led the Green Bay offense to a 42-0 halftime lead with 6 touchdowns in the first half to 5 different receivers. Wide receiver Jordy Nelson continued his stellar season with 6 receptions for 152 yards and 2 touchdowns. Their defense last weekend had a new wrinkle as they moved Clay Matthews to inside linebacker, and he responded with a great performance with 9 solo tackles and 1 sack. The Green Bay offense is ranked 12th in total offense averaging 357 yards per game, and their defense is ranked 23rd in the league, but are excellent against the pass allowing just 227 yards per game. They have struggled against the run however allowing 142 yards per game.

In normal situations I would like to take the points here, but this isn’t a normal situation. You have a team in Philadelphia that just scored 45 points on Monday night in the first game with Mark Sanchez as the starter. You got a great performance from the whole offense in general as everyone stepped up their game to support Sanchez. You also got that from the defense, as each player on defense stepped up their performance to compensate for the loss of their leader, DeMeco Ryans. It might have been against the Panthers, but it was a big win for the Eagles. Now I think they come back to earth on Sunday as their facing a team that rarely loses at home. The Eagles will be on a short week, and this will be their third road game in four weeks. I think the Eagles are really up against it this week, and the fact that they’ve struggled to run the ball lately doesn’t bode well against a Green Bay defense that’s really starting to hit their stride. The Eagles are a good team, but in this spot I have to lay the points with the Packers.

Free Week 11 Sunday NFL Pick: Green Bay -6, Over 54.5
Buffalo vs. Miami Score Prediction: Green Bay 37 – Philadelphia 24

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About the author: Chad Dawkins

 

Chad A. Dawkins is not only an avid sports betting blogger and writer, but he is also a truly dedicated sports handicapper. As a very passionate sports fanatic since childhood, he’s a spirited sports handicapper of the purest form. He not only picks winners by putting in hours of time on all sports; football, basketball, & baseball handicapping. Chad truely enjoys the daily capping grind. He utilizes his love of numbers, the basic betting trends and other raw data to draw up winners. His daily capping involves combining statistics, betting systems, and public perception. He then ties all of this information with his personal knowledge of the game; which is stemmed from his regular viewing habits. Dawkins uses all the tools available to him to practice different types of situational handicapping and to develop systems. Chad uses all of this to pick winners and find value where the sports betting public doesn’t see it. Recently, Dawkins has been contributing on several top websites. He’s been a long time (5+ year) member and often shares his insights on the Cappersinfo.com forums; whom we would like to thank for recommending Chad to Total Choice Sports Picks. He has a solid understanding of how the daily lines are set by the oddsmakers, what moves the line, influences the public; and just has a solid feel for the betting market in general. For all the said reason, this is a big reason why TC-Sports-Picks is honored to have him as a contribution and future expert.

 

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