2014 Free Week 5 Thursday Night NFL Pick: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
Date: Thursday, October 2nd, 2014 Time: 8:25 pm EST TV: CBS/NFL Network
Game Line: Green Bay -7.5 (from JustBet) Over/Under: 47.5

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Thursday NFL analysis: The Green Bay Packers take on the Minnesota Vikings from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin to kick off week 5 of the NFL season on Thursday night.

Green Bay is coming off an impressive 38-17 victory over the Chicago Bears last Sunday. Aaron Rodgers was on point as he completed 22 of 28 passes for 302 yards and 4 touchdowns. Wide receivers Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb had impressive showings combining for 225 yards and 4 touchdowns. The running game continued to be disappointing though, as Eddie Lacy The Green Bay Packers take on the Minnesota Vikings from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI to kick off week 5 of the NFL season on Thursday night.

Minnesota got a nice win on Sunday, defeating the Atlanta Falcons 41-28 in a mild upset. Rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater was impressive in his first NFL start, completing connecting on 19 of 30 pass attempts for 317 yards. The highly touted rookie also ran for 27 yards and a score and speaking of rushing, that’s what was impressive about the Vikings’ win. Minnesota ran for 241 yards led by rookie Jarick McKinnon. McKinnon turned a lot of heads in training camp, and was quite impressive on Sunday averaging 7.5 yards per carry.

I’m grabbing the points with Minnesota on Thursday night. Teddy Bridgewater suffered an ankle injury late in the game against Atlanta, and his status is up in the air as of Wednesday night. Either way I like the dog here. Minnesota is running the ball with a lot of success thus far this season, ranking 8th in the league averaging 134 yards per game. This can’t bode well for a Green Bay defense that is surrendering an average of 176 yards on the ground per game. QB Aaron Rodgers has been successful in the past against the Vikings, but now that Mike Zimmer is there Rodgers shouldn’t be as effective. Zimmer’s defenses in the past have given Rodgers problems, showing multiple defensive fronts and blitzing from different areas. The Minnesota defense should have their moments given Green Bay’s struggles on the offensive line. Should Bridgewater start, I think there is some value at this number. If he doesn’t, former starter Christian Ponder will get the start. Ponder has had his moments, both good and bad, yet he might have some success in offensive coordinator Norv Turner’s system. Should it be the case that Ponder gets the start, we might see more value on the dog with the public overreacting to the last minute change at quarterback. We’ve seen it many times, if one player goes down, the rest of the team steps up their effort. I think the Packers get the win on Thursday night, but Minnesota will make it difficult with a stingy defense and a strong running game.

Free Week 4 Thursday Night NFL Pick: Minnesota +7.5, Over 47.5
Minnesota at Green Bay Score Prediction: Green Bay 28 – Minnesota 24

 

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About the author: Chad Dawkins

 

Chad A. Dawkins is not only an avid sports betting blogger and writer, but he is also a truly dedicated sports handicapper. As a very passionate sports fanatic since childhood, he’s a spirited sports handicapper of the purest form. He not only picks winners by putting in hours of time on all sports; football, basketball, & baseball handicapping. Chad truely enjoys the daily capping grind. He utilizes his love of numbers, the basic betting trends and other raw data to draw up winners. His daily capping involves combining statistics, betting systems, and public perception. He then ties all of this information with his personal knowledge of the game; which is stemmed from his regular viewing habits. Dawkins uses all the tools available to him to practice different types of situational handicapping and to develop systems. Chad uses all of this to pick winners and find value where the sports betting public doesn’t see it. Recently, Dawkins has been contributing on several top websites. He’s been a long time (5+ year) member and often shares his insights on the Cappersinfo.com forums; whom we would like to thank for recommending Chad to Total Choice Sports Picks. He has a solid understanding of how the daily lines are set by the oddsmakers, what moves the line, influences the public; and just has a solid feel for the betting market in general. For all the said reason, this is a big reason why TC-Sports-Picks is honored to have him as a contribution and future expert.

 

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