2013 Week 16 Sunday NFL Football Picks: New Orleans at Carolina

2013 Week 16 Sunday NFL Football Picks
New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers
Date: Sunday, 12/22/13 – Time: 1:00pm ET Network: FOX
Game Line: Carolina -3 Over/Under: 46 (@ JustBet Sportsbook)

Sunday Saints vs Panthers Week 16 NFL Picks & Analysis: The New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers meet for the second time this season with the NFC South division and the #2 seed on the line.

The Saints come in to Sunday’s matchup coming off a disappointing loss last Sunday to St. Louis 27-16. Drew Brees was sacked 4 times in the contest, and were 5 of 15 on third down conversions. They outgained the Rams by 130 yards, but were done in by 3 turnovers, 2 of those being Drew Brees interceptions. They are currently 10-4 and hold the #2 seed in the NFC. The Saints have had a tough road as of late, losing at Seattle 34-7, playing Carolina at home, then traveling to St. Louis. Now they travel to Carolina and find themselves having lossed two of their last three games. New Orleans is without a doubt a different team on the road this year, as they’ve gone 3-4 in those contests. They rank 7th in the league in total offense, averaging 302.8 yards passing and 93.3 yards rushing per game. The Saints defense is ranked 6th in the league allowing 319 yards and 19.2 points per game.

Carolina rebounded nicely after losing at New Orleans in week 14 and having their eight game win streak snapped. Carolina took care of business defeating the New York Jets 30-20. The Panthers have only lossed at home once this season, a 12-7 loss to Seattle in what was a very competitive game. In the other six wins, they’ve won by an average of 18.6 points per game.  Cam Newton is having a great 2013 campaign, completing 62.3% of his passes for 3049 yards with 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He also has rushed for 507 yards, averaging 5.3 yards per rushing attempt. While they rank at the bottom of the league in passing, their rushing attack is ranked 8th in the league averaging 129.4 yards per game. Their key contributors are Deangelo Williams (743 yds), Newton, and Mike Tolbert (331 yds). In the passing game, they have a lot of capable options in wide receiver Steve Smith (701 yds), Greg Olsen (739), and Brandon Lafell (614 yds). While their offense isn’t putting up the most impressive numbers, the defense most certainly is. Carolinas defense ranks 2nd in the league in scoring defense, allowing only 14.9 points per game. They rank 2nd in the league in total defense, allowing 296.3 yards per game. Carolina has a turnover differential of +11, and their defense has forced 27 turnovers this season.

This will be the biggest game of Cam Newton’s career, so one has to wonder how he will respond. He had his fair share of big games in college, and was successful in those outings. I’m not putting any stock into what happened in the last meeting between these two teams. Why? Because it’s very obvious that the Saints are a different team on the road. Drew Brees’ completion percentage is significantly lower in away games. 73.2% at home, 63.4% on the road. You can also look at the number of interceptions, only 3 at home, and 7 on the road. Their defensive stats on the road are even more significant. At home the Saints defense has 26 sacks and 8 interceptions, on the road just 17 sacks and only 2 interceptions. These numbers just show what kind of home field advantage they have, and as we’ve seen this season on the road, they’re just not the same team. We’ve seen this season what kind of trouble the New Orleans offense has had on the road against strong defensive fronts. Carolina has shown that they are a team to be reckoned with, and I think their defense, along with a strong dose of the running game will lead them to victory on Sunday.

2013 Sunday Free NFL Picks Saints vs Panthers: Carolina -3 Under 46
2013 Saints vs Panthers Week 16 Score Prediction: Carolina 21 – New Orleans 16

 

About the author: Chad Dawkins

 

Chad A. Dawkins is not only an avid sports betting blogger and writer, but he is also a truly dedicated sports handicapper. As a very passionate sports fanatic since childhood, he’s a spirited sports handicapper of the purest form. He not only picks winners by putting in hours of time on all sports; football, basketball, & baseball handicapping. Chad truely enjoys the daily capping grind. He utilizes his love of numbers, the basic betting trends and other raw data to draw up winners. His daily capping involves combining statistics, betting systems, and public perception. He then ties all of this information with his personal knowledge of the game; which is stemmed from his regular viewing habits. Dawkins uses all the tools available to him to practice different types of situational handicapping and to develop systems. Chad uses all of this to pick winners and find value where the sports betting public doesn’t see it. Recently, Dawkins has been contributing on several top websites. He’s been a long time (5+ year) member and often shares his insights on the Cappersinfo.com forums; whom we would like to thank for recommending Chad to Total Choice Sports Picks. He has a solid understanding of how the daily lines are set by the oddsmakers, what moves the line, influences the public; and just has a solid feel for the betting market in general. For all the said reason, this is a big reason why TC-Sports-Picks is honored to have him as a contribution and future expert.

 

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