Jose Fernandez MarlinsSan Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Monday Free MLB Pick: The Miami Marlins have won two out of three games against the San Diego Padres in this four-game series. They’ll look for the series win on Monday night to kick off the month of July, and here at TCSP, we are breaking down the MLB betting lines for what we think is one of the softest games on the relatively light schedule.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Padres vs. Marlins Live TV Coverage: Local TV
MLB Odds: Padres +126 / Marlins -131 (Total: 7.5)

The common thought every single time the Marlins head out to the park is that they are going to lose and lose in a big time way. They won by four runs on Sunday, but that came courtesy of a walk-off grand slam in extra innings. The truth of the matter is that this is still an embarrassing team that can’t pitch all that well and can’t hit all that well, and it just doesn’t seem to deserve to be a -130 favorite against anyone in the bigs on the MLB odds. However, we think that the oddsmakers have this one exactly right, and they’re telling us that Miami is going to win this one. Jose Fernandez, Monday’s starter, has a 2.98 ERA this year, and he has been one of the very few bright spots on the club. He is Sabermetrically a very sound pitcher in this, his rookie campaign, and he has had five straight excellent starts, leading the team to a 4-1 record with a 1.67 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP. Jason Marquis, San Diego’s pitcher, is completely overrated at 9-3, and it is only a matter of time until he has a total fall from grace. That time could be right now in the final game of this series. Go with the Fish to spear the Pads and push them down towards irrelevance once and for all in the NL West.

Padres vs. Marlins Free Pick for July 1st: Miami Marlins -131


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