Joe Kelly CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Game 3 MLB Pick: PNC Park is going to be rocking and rolling on Sunday afternoon, as the Pittsburgh Pirates are playing just their second postseason game in the last 21 years here at home. They’re going to hope to make mincemeat out of the St. Louis Cardinals, as one of these teams will take a 2-1 series lead and push the other to the brink of elimination on Sunday.

The Cardinals might be the better of the two teams in this series, but they aren’t the favored one on Sunday on the MLB playoff odds. They’re +136 underdogs, while the ‘total’ has been set at 6.5.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Game Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Cardinals vs. Pirates Live TV Coverage: TBS
MLB Odds at BetOnline (50% Deposit Bonus) : Cardinals +136 / Pirates -148 (Total: 6.5)

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We’re really impressed with what LHP Francisco Liriano has been able to do this year. He has a .131 opposing batting average against lefties, and he has really figured out how to shut lineup down. He’s going to have the best home field advantage in baseball at the moment on his side, and we expect that he is going to once again pitch a relatively good game to give his team a shot to win.

Here’s the problem: Most are underrating RHP Joe Kelly and the Cardinals. Remember that this St. Louis lineup is a lot heavier up and down the order in terms of right-handed hitting than the Cincinnati Reds were, and the bottom line is that the bats are just better for St. Louis than they were for the Reds. Kelly though, very quietly went 10-5 with a 2.69 ERA this season. Yes, some of that work was in relief this year, but over the course of his last three starts, he threw 17.1 innings of work and gave up just three earned runs. Kelly also had three of his previous four starts before that in which he allowed just one earned run. This is a man that can rule the day, even in the hostile territory. This is Kelly’s first postseason start, and it very well could be his first postseason win as well.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Game 3 Free Pick for October 6th: St. Louis Cardinals +136


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