Doug Fister TigersBoston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers ALCS Game 4 Free Pick: We’re getting to the point in the ALCS that the Detroit Tigers really have to win a game. The Boston Red Sox already know that they have done enough to get this series back to Fenway Park if need be, but they can put their foot down and take command with a ‘W’ on the ALCS odds on Wednesday night in Motown.

We’re big fans of the Sox in this one as dogs, and for good reason. They’re figuring out how to win games, and that +117 mark seems to be a great one to try to back what we perceive to be the better team in this series.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Game Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Red Sox vs. Tigers Live TV Coverage: FOX
MLB Odds at JustBet (100% Deposit Bonus) : Red Sox +117 / Tigers -127 (Total: 7.5)

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The poor Tigers have to be shell shocked. They have held the Red Sox down to just seven runs in three games in this series, and they held them to one run in Game 3 after no-hitting them in Game 1 and no-hitting them into the sixth inning of Game 2. All of that said, and they’re down 2-1 to Boston, and they know that this series is really on the mend right now, and we’re right back into a position where we might not see RHP Max Scherzer or RHP Justin Verlander again this season.

This is the biggest crapshoot of a game that we have in this series, as separating RHP Jake Peavy and RHP Doug Fister isn’t easy to do. Peavy went 12-5 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP this year including the playoffs. Fister is 14-9 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP, numbers which are awfully comparable. Both men were respectable in their first starts of the postseason in the ALDS, and both led their teams to victory. Here’s the issue, though. We have seen it all series long. When the Red Sox have a chance to put runs on the board, they are remaining dangerous. When the Tigers have chances to put runs on the board, they’re finding ways to not score runs. Even in the ninth inning yesterday when the team started to rally just a bit to lead off the ninth inning with a single, OF Jhonny Peralta wiped it all away by grounding into a double play that at least effectively ended the game, if not the whole series. You hate to put that much drama into something that happened in Game 3, but it surely feels like this is a series that is all but over with already. Boston feels like it is going to take this one and run, and we have to take them as dogs at this point in any game that they are playing, regardless of whether that game is home or away.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Free Pick for October 16th: Boston Red Sox +117


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