UNC CheerleadersMiami Hurricanes @ North Carolina Tar Heels Picks
Thursday, October 17th, 7:30 p.m. ET
Network: ESPN

Free College Football Pick
North Carolina +8 @ JustBet

For those of you that have followed my college football picks over the course of the season, you know that I looked for three things. #1: Value. #2: Good ATS trends. #3 Sharp plays. I’ve got all three on the docket here. It’s only Sunday, but I already know that Miami is going to be one of the squarest plays on the board all week long, because Joe Public is going to look at this game and suggest, “Wait, I’ve got a Top 10 team in the land at -8 on the road against a team that is 1-4? This is easy!” Yeah, ask Stanford what it thought about being in a situation like this oneā€¦ Then again, you might pose the question to me as to why I think the ATS trends in this game are on my side. Miami has covered three in a row in this series and four in a row overall in 2013, while UNC has been a brutal disappointment with three straight failed covers. Yes, but five of the last six games in this series have been decided by nine points or fewer, and if this one fits the mold, I’ve got myself a great chance by getting an eight-point head start.


The bottom line though, is that I really love the fact that this North Carolina team is only 1-4. It’s a desperate team that has had two weeks to stew over being a 1-4 team. The ACC Coastal Division title isn’t out of the question at this point, but going to a bowl game isn’t a guarantee by any stretch of the imagination right now. Winning this game would help right the ship, and losing it would make even playing beyond November a virtual impossibility. In my eyes, these two teams are relatively close to one another. Getting eight points for a team that is playing just its third home game of the season against a team that it genuinely hates on national television in a standalone game on Thursday night? You get my point. The Tar Heels are definitely the right play to make on Thursday. Play North Carolina +8

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