West Region

Sunday, March 23rd 7:40 PM EST on truTV

6 Baylor Bears vs. 3 Creighton Bluejays

Game Line: Creighton -3 Game Total: 143 (from JustBet)

The Baylor Bears take on the Creighton Bluejays on Sunday in the third round of the NCAA tournament from San Antonio, Texas.

The Baylor Bears took care of business on Friday, advancing by handling Nebraska 74-60. The Bears have been solid as of late, winning 7 out of their last 8 games, with the only loss a 9 point defeat at the hands of Iowa State in the Big 12 conference final. They are led by senior forward Cory Jefferson who is averaging 13.6 points and 8.6 rebounds per contest. The Bears are scoring 75.2 ppg and shooting 45.5% from the field and have a 1.25 assist to turnover ratio. They can shoot beyond the arc, hitting 38.6% of their 3-point attempts and are hitting about seven 3-pointers per game. They are 24th in the nation in rebounding, grabbing 38.7 boards per contest. On defense they aren’t the greatest team, allowing 68.1 ppg while their opponents are shooting 42.4% from the field.

The Creighton Bluejays advanced to the third round by defeating Louisiana-Lafayette 76-66 on Friday. The Jays are one of the top teams in the country in terms of shooting as they are hitting 49.9% of their shots. They are the top team in the nation in shooting from beyond the arc, hitting 10.3 3-pointers per game, and hitting 42% of their 3-point attempts. They are led by none other than 6’8” senior forward Doug McDermott, who is averaging 27 ppg and is the 5th leading scorer in NCAA history. Creighton is extremely efficient on the offensive end averaging 17.7 assists per game (2nd in the NCAA) and have a 1.81 assist to turnover ratio, tops in the nation. On defense they are allowing 67.4 ppg while holding opponents to 42% shooting from the field.

I’m laying the points with Creighton on Sunday. Baylor has been playing excellent as of late, but they struggle to defend the perimeter, allowing opponents to shoot 35.7% from beyond the arc. The Bears might try to shut down McDermott, but should that be the case, the other Creighton players can shoot as well as Villanova found out this season. I also look at the way Baylor has problems when it comes to turnovers, as they can be sloppy at times with the basketball. Creighton is an experienced squad, and the Baylor zone should pose no problems to McDermott and company. Baylor is a quality squad, but their lack of consistency on the offensive end will do them in. I like the Bluejays to cover the small number in a relatively high scoring affair.

 

Baylor Bears vs. Creighton Bluejays Free NCAABB Pick: Creighton -3 Over 143

Baylor Bears vs. Creighton Bluejays Game Prediction: Creighton 83 Baylor 75

 

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